York has '100% likelihood' of being coronavirus hotspot
A 'Covid Calculator', created by researchers at Imperial College London, has estimated the probability for various areas across the UK.
A ‘COVID calculator’ has estimated the probability that regions across the UK will become coronavirus “hotspots”, with York given a 100 per cent rating.
The tool, created by Imperial College London researchers, uses the latest test data to predict the probability of an area being a hotspot in the next one, two and three weeks.
York is given a 100 per cent probability rating, with surrounding areas Selby at 96 per cent, East Riding of Yorkshire 100 per cent, Ryedale 92 per cent, Hambleton 99 per cent and Harrogate 100 per cent.
It says the probability of an R rate greater than 1 in York is 100 per cent.
The most recent case figures show the Fulford, Heslington and University area of the city has the highest number of positive coronavirus results with 39 confirmed cases between September 27 and October 3. It was followed by Tang Hall with 24 cases, city centre with 23, Heworth South and The Groves with 24 and Holgate East with 23.
But all areas have recorded positive cases in the past week.
Visit the covid calculator at imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local