New report claims 'it is very likely that net zero targets will not be achieved'

A climate emergency was declared by Nicola Sturgeon nearly four years ago

Author: Finlay Jack, Craig Paton (PA)Published 20th Apr 2023
Last updated 29th Jan 2024

It is not clear what Scottish Government actions will be taken to limit the risk of climate change, Audit Scotland has said in a new report.

That's despite former first minister Nicola Sturgeon declaring a climate emergency in 2019.

The target is for Scotland be net zero by 2045 however, the Climate Change Committee said last year the Government had missed seven out of 11 targets and there was "no clear plan of delivery" for reducing emissions by 75% by 2030.

'Targets to reduce the risk have been repeatedly missed'

A new report released on Thursday by Audit Scotland said improvements were necessary in the governance arrangements within Government aiming to meet the climate change targets, particularly around how risks are managed.

According to the watchdog, climate change has been given a "high risk score" on a Government risk register - a document which assesses the likelihood and impact of problems arising across government - meaning "it is very likely that net zero targets will not be achieved and that the impact of this would be severe".

The report adds: "It is not, however, clearly specified what actions will be taken to reduce the overarching net zero risk or how the actions will impact on the risk score.

"Targets to reduce the risk score have been repeatedly missed and the level of risk remains high."

The auditor also found that, until December, there was not a specific risk logged on the corporate risk register relating to the adaptation to the impacts of climate change.

"The lack of a specific adaptation risk, with actions to address it, means that this critical issue was much less likely to be considered at an executive level than net zero targets," the report said.

However, the report also states an adaptation risk was recorded within the register of the Government's net zero department, first logged last March, but was given a much lower risk score than the overarching net zero risk. The report claimed this could "reduce the level of urgency at executive levels for taking action to ensure that Scotland is resilient to the impacts of climate change".

A work in progress

Auditor General Stephen Boyle said: "The Scottish Government's set up for responding to the climate crisis has constantly evolved since 2019. But the different parts of Government could be better coordinated.

"The Government's risk management arrangements also need to improve, particularly the work needed to ensure Scotland adapts to the impact of climate change.

"Work is ongoing across the Scottish Government to tackle these organisational weaknesses, and it's vital that happens quickly given the urgency of the climate situation."

Scottish Government has not done the 'heavy lifting'

Scottish Conservative climate spokesman Liam Kerr said: "The SNP-Green Government thinks talking a good game is sufficient in order to trick people and businesses into thinking they are doing a good job.

"But as this document confirms, SNP ministers have missed target after target, and amassed an incredible number of failings when it comes to protecting the planet."

Scottish Labour climate spokeswoman Sarah Boyack accused the Scottish Government of a "woeful lack of action".

"We are already feeling the effects of the climate emergency but the Government has not done the heavy lifting urgently required to put in place adaptations communities need.

"The SNP-Green Government must start treating this crisis with the urgency it deserves - we need more than warm words, missed targets and spin to deal with the catastrophic effects of climate change.

"The next Labour government will deliver transformative green investment to build a greener country and protect against climate change."

Liam McArthur, who speaks for the Liberal Democrats on climate issues, accused the Scottish Government of "continued failure to get to grips with tackling the climate emergency".

A Scottish Government spokesperson said: "The Scottish Government welcomes the independent scrutiny of Audit Scotland and their recognition of the improvements to governance and risk management since we declared a climate emergency in 2019. We want to continue to strengthen our approach, and these recommendations will play an important role in helping us deliver Scotland's climate change ambitions.

"Scotland is making good progress towards net zero. To deliver on our ambitious targets will require truly transformational action across our society and economy, especially to deliver a just transition. Our next full Climate Change Plan will set out our pathway to meeting our emissions reduction targets to 2040, including the costs and benefits of its policies.

"We recognise the need to build resilience to the impacts of climate change. That is why we are investing an extra £150 million for flood risk management and £12 million for coastal change adaptation over this parliament. We will continue to deliver the 170 policies and proposals in our current Adaptation Programme as we develop the next programme for publication in 2024."

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